PLEASE HELP!


4) The "random walk theory of stock prices holds that price movements in disjoint time periods are independent of each other. Suppose that we record only whether the price is up or down each year, and that the probability that our portfolio rises in price in any one year is 0.65.



a) What is the probability that the portfolio goes up for 3 consecutive years?



b) What is the probability that the portfolio's value moves in the same direction (either up or down) for 3 consecutive years?



c) What is the probability that the portfolio's value goes up for at least 1 of 3 years?​

PLEASE HELP! 4) The "random Walk Theory Of Stock Prices Holds That Price Movements In Disjoint Time Periods

Answers

Answer 1

Part (a)

Each year is independent of any other. This allows us to simply multiply the probability values for each increase. Recall that P(A and B) = P(A)*P(B) if and only if events A & B are independent.

(0.65)*(0.65)*(0.65) = (0.65)^3 = 0.274625

Answer: 0.274625

=========================================

Part (b)

We calculated the probability of an increase for each of the 3 years back in part (a). Let's calculate we have a decrease 3 times in a row.

0.65 is the probability of increase for any given year, which makes 1-0.65 = 0.35 the probability of decrease for any given year.

Therefore (0.35)^3 = 0.042875 represents the probability of 3 decreases in a row.

Add this result to what we got in part (a)

0.274625+0.042875 = 0.3175

This is done because we could have 3 increases OR 3 decreases (pick one). Think of it like this P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) where A & B are mutually exclusive events.

Answer: 0.3175

=========================================

Part (c)

In the previous part we calculated 0.042875 as the probability of 3 decreases in a row.

1-0.042875 = 0.957125 is the probability of at least one increase. Note how the events "no increases" and "at least one increase" are complementary events. They are opposite. One or the other must happen, which allows us to subtract from 1.

You can think of it like this

P(no increases) + P(at least one increase) = 1

P(at least one increase) = 1 - P(no increases)

Answer: 0.957125

Side note: none of the final answers have been rounded.


Related Questions

-13 > 2x -5 or 2x-5>17

Answers

The solution set for the pair of inequalities as given in the task content is; (-∞, -4) U (11, ∞).

What is the solution set for the pair of inequalities given?

It follows from the task content that the solution set of the pair of inequalities is to be determined.

Therefore, each inequality can be solved as follows;

-13 > 2x - 5;

-13 + 5 > 2x

-8 > 2x

-4 > x.

Also, the inequality 2x - 5 > 17 can be solved as follows;

2x > 17 + 5

2x > 22

x > 11.

Therefore, the solution set of the inequalities as given in the task content in interval notation is;

(-∞, -4) U (11, ∞).

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Here you go LOL didn't get all the files. I need help TWT

Answers

Answer:

First option

Step-by-step explanation:

→ Define domain

The set of x values a function can take

→ Identify

2 to negative infinity


Use the given vertices to graph quadrilateral TUVW and its image after a dilation centered at the origin with scale factor
k=2/3
T(9,-3), U(6,0), V(3,9), w(0,0)

Answers

Answer:We know that the dilation transformation of a figure either shrink or expand the original figure depending on the scale factor of the dilation.

As here we have scale factor=3>1.

Hence, the dilation  changes the original will expand the original figure.

Hence, each of the coordinate of a figure get multiplied by 3.

Hence, the co

ordinates of the image are given as:

i.e. A(0,0) → A'(0,0)

B(2,3) → B'(6,9)

C(1,-2) → C'(3,-6)

D(-3,-3) → D'(-9,-9)

Step-by-step explanation:

You visit the Grand Canyon and drop a penny off the edge of the cliff. The distance the penny will fall is 32ft for the first second, 62ft the next second, 92ft the third second, and so on. How far will the penny have traveled after 7 seconds?

Answers

Answer:

212 feet fallen after 7 seconds

Step-by-step explanation:

You visit the Grand Canyon and drop a penny off the edge of the cliff. The distance the penny will fall is 32ft for the first second, 62ft the next second, 92ft the third second, and so on. How far will the penny have traveled after 7 seconds?

if 32 ft for 1 second

if 62 ft for 2 second

if 92 ft for 3 second

We see that the penny from second 1, falls an addition 30 ft/s.

equation: 32 + 30 (t - 1)

when t = 7 seconds:

32 + 30 (7 - 1)

32 + 30 (6)

32 + 180

= 212 feet fallen after 7 seconds

Which sentence describes a benefit that short-term disability insurance offers a policyholder?
A. It provides 30% to 40% of the policyholder’s income for up to one year.
B. It provides 10% to 25% of the policyholder’s income for up to two years.
C. It provides 50% of the policyholder’s income for up to one year.
D. It provides 40% to 60% of the policyholder’s income for up to one year.

Answers

The sentence that describes a benefit of short-term disability insurance is D. It provides 40% to 60% of the policyholder’s income for up to one year.

What is short-term disability insurance?

Short-term disability insurance is meant to cover a portion of a person's wages in the event that they get injured such that they are unable to work and earn a salary in that time.

The short-term disability insurance policies these days generally cover about 40% to 60% of the income that the policyholder would have made in one year and so has less premiums.

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Gwen opens a savings account with $50.00. Over the next year, she plans to deposit
$10.00 each month into the account. Write a linear function for the amount A, in
dollars, in Gwen's account after x months.
paing

Answers

A linear function for the amount, A, in dollars, in Gwen’s account after x months is A=50+10x

What are the domain and range of the function f(x)=3/4x+5?

Answers

Answer:

domain: [tex](-\infty, \infty)[/tex]

range: [tex](-\infty, \infty)[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

You can put any real number into [tex]x[/tex] and get any real number out oft the function [tex]f(x)[/tex]

simplify (3^6)^5/9x3^7 give your answer as an power of 3

Answers

We are going to use these properties :

1. (a^m)^n = a^mn
2. a^m x a^n = a^(m+n)
3. a^m : a^n = a^(m-n)

Using the first property, (3^6)^5 = 3^(6x5) = 3^30

Using the second property :
9 = 3^2
-> 9 x 3^7 = 3^2 x 3^7 = 3^(2+7) = 3^9

Therefore, it is simplified down to 3^30 : 3^9

Finally, we will use the third property :
3^30 : 3^9 = 3^(30-9) = 3^21

The cost of hiring a car is $40 plus a charge of $30 per day. How much will it cost to hire the car for 2 days?

Answers

Step-by-step explanation:

we have a basic fee of $40 just for renting the car.

and we rent it for 2 days for $30 per day.

so, this costs

40 × 2×30 = 40 + 60 = $100

Help please. Isabelle's lemon cookie recipe calls for 5 cups of sugar.
How much sugar would Isabelle use to make 4 1/5 batches of cookies?

Answers

The quantity of sugar Isabelle would need to make 4 1/5 batches of cookies is 21 cups of sugar

Calculating the quantity of sugar needed

From the question, we are to determine the quantity of sugar that Isabelle would need to make the given number of batches. The number of batches Isabelle wants to make is 4 1/5 batches.

From the given information, Isabelle's lemon cookie recipe calls for 5 cups of sugar. If 1 batch of the lemon cookie calls for 5 cups of sugar

Then, 4 1/5 batches of the lemon cookie will call for 5 × 4 1/5 cups of sugar 5 × 4 1/5

= 5 × 21/5= 21

Hence, Isabelle will need 21 cups of sugar

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Paul is a keen cyclist. the chart shows the distance he cycled each day of last week. a)How much further did Paul cycle on Friday than on Monday? b)what is the total distance cycled by Paul on the three days he cycled the most?

Answers

Answer:

a) 6 km

b) 66 km

Step-by-step explanation:

a) According to the graph:

Paul cycled about 22 km on Friday.Paul cycled about 16 km on Monday.

To find how much further, subtract the distance cycled those two days:

22 - 16 = 6 km

b) The three days he cycled the most are the three days with the highest lines on the graph, so that would be:

Saturday, about 24 km.Friday, about 22 km.Wednesday, about 20 km.

Add them all up to find the total distance cycled:

24 + 22 + 20 = 66 km

Each tire on the toy car has a diameter of 5. 6cm, the tire spin completely around 15 times when the car was pushed in a straight line. About how far was the car pushed

Answers

The distance covered by the car is 264cm.

Here we have to find the distance covered by the car.

Information provided:

Diameter (d) = 5.6cm

radius(r) = 5.6/2

             = 2.8cm

Rotation = 15 times

Formula to find the circumference of the tire:

Circumference = 2πr

                        = 2 × 22/7 × 2.8

                        = 17.6cm

This is the distance covered by the tire in one rotation.

Distance covered after 15 rotations = 15× 17.6

                                                         = 264 cm

Therefore distance covered is 264 cm.

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how many groups of participants would be needed to partially (e.g., using latin square arrangement) counterbalance a within-subjects experiment with three treatment conditions?

Answers

24 groups of participants would be needed to partially counterbalance a within-subjects experiment with three treatment conditions.

Given that;

How many groups of participants would be needed to partially counterbalance a within-subjects experiment with three treatment conditions.

Every participant in an experiment is exposed to every treatment or condition in a within-subject design, sometimes referred to as a repeated measures design.

The term "between-subjects design" is comparable to this within-subjects design. People are solely assigned to one treatment in a between-subjects design. As a result, one therapy would be given to one group of volunteers, while a different treatment would be given to another group. After that, the variations between the two groups would be contrasted.

24 groups would be required for a perfectly counterbalanced design for even four treatment conditions. This would obviously be impracticable because a large enough sample size would be required to conduct such an experiment.

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a₁ = 7
an = an-1 - 3

Write explicitly.

Answers

Answer:

  a(n) = 10 -3n

Step-by-step explanation:

You want the explicit formula for the sequence recursively defined by a(1)=7, a(n)=a(n-1) -3.

Common difference

The recursion relation tells you that each term is 3 less than the one before. That is, the common difference between terms is -3.

Explicit formula

A sequence with a common difference is an arithmetic sequence. The formula for the n-th term is ...

  a(n) = a(1) +d(n -1)

where a(1) is the first term and d is the common difference.

The first term is given by the recursive definition as 7. Then the explicit formula is ...

  a(n) = 7 -3(n -1)

This can be simplified to ...

  a(n) = 10 -3n

help meeeeeeeeeeee pleaseeeeeeeeeee rn rnnnnnnnnn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
help meeeeeeeeeeee pleaseeeeeeeeeee rn rnnnnnnnnn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Answers

The maximum area that the material would cover is 640, 000 square yards

What is rate of change?

A rate of change is a rate that describes how one quantity changes in relation to another quantity. If x is the independent variable and y is the dependent variable, then

rate of change = change in y / change in x

if 3200 yards was used for fencing, then 3200 yards is perimeter

and perimeter of a rectangle = 2( L + B)

so that,

2(L + B) = 3200

L + B = 1600

express L in terms of B

L = 1600 - B

Area(A) = L X B

A = L X B

substitute L = 1600 -B

A = (1600 - B) x B

multiply out

A = 1600B - [tex]B^{2}[/tex]

for maximum area,

[tex]\frac{dA}{dB}[/tex] = 0

But dA / dB = 1600 - 2B

1600 - 2B = 0

2B =1600

B = 1600/2

B = 800 yards

L = 1600 - B

L = 1600 - 800

L = 800 yards

Area = L X B

A = 800 x 800

A = 640,000 square yards

In conclusion, he maximum area is  640,000 square yards and the dimensions are 800 yards by 800 yards

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Solve each equation for y
A. (y- 10) = -3(x - 2)
B. (y-2) = 3(x+1)
C. (y-2 = 1/3(x-3)
Will do brainliest! 100%

Answers

Answer:

A. [tex]y=-3x+16[/tex]

B. [tex]y=3x+5[/tex]

C. [tex]y=\frac{1}{3}x+1[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

A.

[tex]y-10=-3(x-2)[/tex]

[tex]y-10=-3x+6[/tex]

[tex]y=-3x+16[/tex]

B.

[tex]y-2=3(x+1)[/tex]

[tex]y-2=3x+3[/tex]

[tex]y=3x+5[/tex]

C.

[tex]y-2=\frac{1}{3}(x-3)[/tex]

[tex]y-2=\frac{1}{3}x-1[/tex]

[tex]y=\frac{1}{3}x+1[/tex]

Drew painted his uncle's barn on saturday. it took him 7 hours to paint the whole barn, and his uncle paid him 133 dollars for his work. what was drew's pay rate, in dollars per hour?

Answers

The total amount paid in dollars per hour is $19.

Unitary Method:

The unitary method is a technique for solving a problem by first finding the value of a single unit, and then finding the necessary value by multiplying the single unit value.

It is given that the total amount given by the uncle is $133 for the work done by Barn for 7 hours.

We have to find the amount paid per hour.

Total amount given = $133

Number of hour Barn work = 7 hours

Amount paid per hour = 133/ 7

= $ 19

Therefore the amount paid per hour is $19.

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Tom is applying for a visa.
He has to pay £2,300 for the visa as well as a 7% charge on the visa price for an on-the-day service.
If Tom has 1 year to save, how much money should he save per month to be able to cover his costs?
Round your answer to the nearest £10.

Answers

Total price: 2300 + 2300(.07)=2461
One year to save. 12 months in one year.
2461/12=205 per month. Round to nearest 10 so save 210 every month

One leg of a right triangle is 7 units long, and its hypotenuse is 16 units long. What is the length of the other leg? Round to the nearest whole number.

Answers

Answer:

7^{2} + x^{2} = 16^{2}

49+x^2=256

x^2=207

x=14.387=14

Answer:

14 units

Step-by-step explanation:

To find the length of the other leg of a right triangle, where one leg is 7 units long and the hypotenuse is 16 units long, use Pythagoras Theorem.

Pythagoras Theorem states that in a right triangle, the square of the length of the hypotenuse (the side opposite the right angle) is equal to the sum of the squares of the lengths of the legs.  

Let the legs of the right triangle be "a" and "b", and the hypotenuse be "c". Therefore:

[tex]\begin{aligned}a^2+b^2&=c^2\\a^2+7^2&=16^2\\a^2+49&=256\\a^2+49-49&=256-49\\a^2&=207\\\sqrt{a^2}&=\sqrt{207}\\a&=14.3874945...\\a&=14\;\sf(nearest\;whole\;number)\end{aligned}[/tex]

Therefore, the length of the other leg is 14 units (rounded to the nearest whole number).

multiply the maclaurin series for e z and 1 1 z to obtain the series expansion for e z 1 z up to z 5 . on what disk does it converge?

Answers

The series expansion for e z 1 z up to z 5 is obtained by multiplying the Maclaurin series for e z and 1 1 z. For |z| 1, this series converges.

The Maclaurin series for e^z is:

e^z = 1 + z + z^2/2! + z^3/3! + z^4/4! + ...

The Maclaurin series for 1/1-z is:

1/(1-z) = 1 + z + z^2 + z^3 + z^4 + ...

Multiplying these two series together gives:

e^z/(1-z) = (1 + z + z^2/2! + z^3/3! + z^4/4! + ...)(1 + z + z^2 + z^3 + z^4 + ...)

= 1 + (1+z) + (z + z^2/2! + z^2) + (z^2/2! + z^3 + z^3/3!) + (z^3/3! + z^4 + z^4/4!) + ...

= 1 + z + 2z^2 + 3z^3 + 5z^4 + ...

This series converges for |z| < 1

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2.356 in expanded form

Answers

2 + 0.3 + 0.05 + 0.006

Answer: 2 + 0.3 +  0.05 + 0.006

Step-by-step explanation: You just have to technically un add the stuff of you understand it that way.

Hope i helped you

Have a great day Darling

How would you solve (5x - 7) (4x + 1)?

Answers

Using distributive property, the simplified form of (5x - 7)(4x + 1) is 20x^2- 23x - 7.

In the given question we have to solve the given expression.

The given expression is (5x - 7)(4x + 1).

To simplify the given expression we use the distributive property.

According to property; a(b+c) = ab+bc

Now simplifying the expression;

(5x - 7)(4x + 1)=5x(4x + 1) - 7(4x + 1)

(5x - 7)(4x + 1)=(5x*4x + 5x*1) - (7*4x + 7*1)

(5x - 7)(4x + 1)=(20x^2 + 5x) - (28x + 7)

Simplifying

(5x - 7)(4x + 1)=20x^2+5x -28x - 7

(5x - 7)(4x + 1)=20x^2- 23x - 7

The simplified form of (5x - 7)(4x + 1) is 20x^2- 23x - 7.

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[tex]\frac{5\sqrt{7} }{\sqrt{35} }[/tex]

Answers

The simplified expression of the radical expression given as 5√7/√35 is 7

How to evaluate the expression?

From the question, we have the following expression that can be used in our computation:

5√7/√35

The above expression is a fraction and at the same time it is a radical expression

The denominator of the fraction is √35

So, we start by rationalizing the expression by the fraction

This is represented as

5√7/√35 = 5√7/√35 * √35/√35

Evaluate the products of the numerator

So, we have the following representation

5√7/√35 = 5√245/√35 * 1/√35

Evaluate the products of the denominator

So, we have the following representation

5√7/√35 = 5√245/35

Simplify the fraction

This gives

5√7/√35 = √245/7

Simplify the fraction

5√7/√35 = 7√5/7

So, we have

5√7/√35 = 7

Hence, the simplified expression is 7

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Forty students in the second grade class listed their hair and eye colors in the table below:
Brown hair Blonde hair Total
Blue Eyes 5 12 17
Brown Eyes 16 7 23
21 19 40
Are the events “blonde hair” and “brown eyes” independent?

Answers

The events “blonde hair” and “brown eyes” are not independent.

What are independent events?

The term "independent events" refers to those whose occurrence is not reliant on another event.

When two events A and B are independent then the intersection of the two events is equal to zero. i.e. They do not have any element in common.

But from the given table we can see that the intersection of the events of  "blonde hair" and "brown eyes" exists.

Therefore, the events "blonde hair" and "brown eyes" are not independent.

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Frances owns a landscaping business. She has 425 plants and is placing an equal number of plants into 47 yards. After planting, how many plants will she have left to take home and plant in her own yard?

A. 0 plants
B. 1 plant
C. 2 plants
D. 3 plants

Answers

C because 47 times 9 = 423 then there’s 2 leftover

n how many ways can a math team of 14 students be chosen from a math club which consists of 15 seniors and 11 juniors if the team must consist of 8 seniors and 6 juniors?

Answers

Using Combination formula, total 2,24,070 ways to make a math team of 14 selected students in which consist of 8 seniors and 6 juniors.

We have following information,

total number of seniors in math club = 15

total number of juniors in math club = 11

total number of students in math club = 26

A math team of 14 students be choosen from maths club such that it consists 8 seniors and 6 juniors .

Number of ways to choose 8 seniors out of 15 seniors = ¹⁵C₈ = 485

Number of ways to choose 6 juniors out of 11 juniors = ¹¹C₆ = 462

Number of ways to select/choose a math team of 14 students consists 8 seniors and 6 juniors

= 485 × 462 = 2,24,070

Hence, the number of ways to select/choose a math team of 14 students consists 8 seniors and 6 juniors is 2,24,070..

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how to find the vertex

Answers

Answer: To find the vertex: use formula x= -b/2a.

plug x into the given equation to find y value.

now you have (h,k)

find a point on the graph and plug in to the vertex form equation to find "a"

Step-by-step explanation:

The proof below may or may not be correct. If the proof is incorrect, determine the
first step number that is not justified and the reason it is not justified.

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation: step 5
they have not proved the ASA postulate i.e. they the are missing a step to proove angle BEF = angle CED (Verticle angles)
so, correct answer is step number 5 and reason 'missing prior step'

you play tennis regularly with a friend, and from past experience, you believe that the outcome of each match is independent. for any given match you have a probability of 0.6 of winning. what is the probability that you win the next two matches?

Answers

Answer:

0, 6 * 0,6 = 0.36

Step-by-step explanation:

Keyword is AND.First AND second matches both. It means you need to use *.

The probability of winning both matches is 0.36 or 36%.

What is probability?

It is the chance of an event to occur from a total number of outcomes.

The formula for probability is given as:

Probability = Number of required events / Total number of outcomes.

Example:

The probability of getting a head in tossing a coin.

P(H) = 1/2

We have,

Since the outcome of each match is independent, we can use the multiplication rule of probability to find the probability of winning the next two matches:

P(win both matches) = P(win first match) x P(win second match)

The probability of winning a single match is given as 0.6.

Therefore, the probability of winning the first match is 0.6.

Now, assuming you won the first match, you still have a probability of 0.6 of winning the second match.

Therefore, the probability of winning both matches is:

P(win both matches) = P(win first match) * P(win second match)

= 0.6 x 0.6

= 0.36

Therefore,

The probability of winning both matches is 0.36 or 36%.

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Can anyone state the vertex of the graph?

Answers

The graph has no vertex

The transformations from the parent function are

Vertical shift down 2Horizontal shift left 4

How to determine the vertex?

The graph represents the given parameter

As a general rule, the maximum or the minimum of a graph is the vertex

However, the graph has no maximum or minimum

This means that there is absence of a vertex in the graph

The transformation

Here, we have:

The graph is translated 4 units to the left of the origin The graph is translated 2 units below the origin

This transformation can be represented as (x - 4, y - 2)

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22. Drosophila melanogaster is a species of fruit fly commonly used to investigate patterns of genetic inheritance. Flies with a curled wing mutation have deformed wings and cannot fly. Wild-type flies have normal wings.Fruit fly eye colour is also under genetic control. Wild-type flies have red eyes while mutant flies have white eyes.The image below depicts two flies that carry at least one of the mutant phenotypes described above.a)i. Define the term wild type. (1 mark)ii. A pure breeding fly with normal wings and white eyes is crossed with a pure breeding fly with curled wings and red eyes. All of the F1 offspring produced have curled wings and red eyes. Based on this information, use appropriate allelic notation to identify the dominant and recessive alleles for each trait. (2 marks)b) Several crosses between an F1 individual from part a) ii. above and a pure breeding fly with normal wings and white eyes produce the following phenotypic results.Curled wings red eyes = 410 flies; Normal wings white eyes = 470 fliesCurled wings white eyes = 81 flies; Wild type for both traits = 79 fliesUse this information to determine if these genes are linked or unlinked. Justify your answer. (2 marks) Choose the FOUR items that correctly describe Georgia's "Trustee Period." a golf ball of mass 45.93 g has a velocity of 74.22 m/s immediately after being struck. if the club and ball were have an average contact force of 8896 n, how long does the contact last? To become a member at Anytime Fitness you must payan initiation fee of $49.99 when you sign up, $33.99 permonth for the membership.How many months would you have been with AnytimeFitness if you paid a total of $321.91 ? out of a slave population of 3.9 million in 1860, approximately how many were recorded as being mulattoes? which object oriented element best allows us to designing and implementing families of related types that share outward similarities, but have specialized behaviors? a data analyst wants to create a shareable report of their analysis with documentation of their process and notes explaining their code to stakeholders. what tool can they use to generate this? a 39-kg crate rests on a horizontal floor, and a 68-kg person is standing on the crate. (a) determine the magnitude of the normal force that the floor exerts on the crate. n (b) determine the magnitude of the normal force that the crate exerts on the person. Mara sabes algo, creo que voy a enfermarme porque tp Qu sntomas tienes tus mucho por la noche estoy tan congestionado, que no puedo respirar tambin te escuchas Un poco ronco. Te duele la garganta, s, creo que tengo la gripe, porque tambin tengo fiebre.True or False. Pepe is hoarse.OFalseO True howard owns a rental property in another state. he must travel to maintain and manage the rental property. to be able to deduct his travel expenses he must: what obstacles do you think a women would have to overcome as a soldier in the American Revolution? which organization structure typically assigns workers two or more supervisors in an effort to make sure multiple dimensions of the business are integrated? Which of the following advancements improved navigation for Europeans prior to the Age ofExploration?O lightweight and fast caravel shipsO astrolabe for finding latitude magnetic compass adopted from ChineseO all of the above Charged ions are traveling through a cell membrane with the concentration gradient. Which process is represented here?. 25) If a number, n, divided by 8 equals 2.5, what is n?26) The sum of a number, n, and 6.05 is 12.4. What is n?27) Stacy is one-fourth as old as her mother. If Stacy's mother is 36, how old is Stacy?28) One-third of a painting job takes 24 hours. How long will it take to finish the entire job? Mutations that inhibit the function of photosystem i but not photosystem ii would result in a plant cell that could still______. A ............... report is a report written by experts in a particular field upon the request or authorization of individuals or organizations whose main purpose is to convey exact or useful information to their readers. What are some things you do to help you learn and remember new words and what they mean? what are her monthly payments How does priestly present Sybil Birling before the arrival of Inspector Goole in an inspector calls?