Why does sum of two random variables, that follow Bernoulii distribution with different probability of success, does not have a binomial distribution? Please explain without moment generating function, using pdf or cdf is acceptable.

Answers

Answer 1

While the sum of two independent Bernoulli random variables might resemble a binomial distribution intuitively, it is not a true binomial distribution unless the probabilities of success are equal.

The sum of two random variables that follow different Bernoulli distributions with varying probabilities of success does not have a binomial distribution because the conditions for a binomial distribution are not met.

To understand this, let's consider two independent Bernoulli random variables: X with probability of success p1 and Y with probability of success p2, where p1 and p2 are not equal. The sum Z = X + Y represents the total number of successes in two independent trials.

In a binomial distribution, all the trials should be identical, meaning they must have the same probability of success (let's call it p). This allows us to define a fixed number of trials (n) and calculate the probability of obtaining a specific number of successes (k). The probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is given by:

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k),

where C(n, k) represents the binomial coefficient (n choose k).

In our case, since the probabilities of success for X and Y are different (p1 and p2, respectively), we cannot directly apply the binomial PMF formula. The random variable Z does not satisfy the condition of having a fixed number of trials with a single probability of success.

However, we can still analyze the distribution of Z using the probability mass function (PMF) or cumulative distribution function (CDF) approach. By considering all possible outcomes of X and Y and their respective probabilities, we can determine the distribution of Z. It would be a discrete distribution that depends on the specific values of p1 and p2.

Therefore, while the sum of two independent Bernoulli random variables might resemble a binomial distribution intuitively, it is not a true binomial distribution unless the probabilities of success are equal.

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Related Questions

James was a visitor on an animal-spotting trip. The
probabilities of a visitor seeing crocodiles and hippos on
the trip are given in the tree diagram below.
Given that James saw exactly one of these types of
animal, what is the probability that he saw a crocodile?
Give your answer as a fraction in its simplest form.
Saw a crocodile
Yes
No
Saw a hippo
5/60
16
Na
79
Yes
No
Yes
N

Answers

Given that James saw exactly one of these types of animal, the probability that he saw a crocodile is given as follows:

1/3.

How to calculate a probability?

The parameters that are needed to calculate a probability are listed as follows:

Number of desired outcomes in the context of a problem or experiment.Number of total outcomes in the context of a problem or experiment.

Then the probability is calculated as the division of the number of desired outcomes by the number of total outcomes.

The probability of seeing exactly one type of animal is given as follows:

2/5 x 1/6 + 3/5 x 2/9 = 1/15 + 6/45 = 3/45 + 6/45 = 9/45.

The probability of seeing exactly one type of animal and being a crocodile is given as follows:

2/5 x 1/6 = 1/15 = 3/45.

Hence the conditional probability is given as follow:

(3/45)/(9/45) = 3/9 = 1/3.

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Solve for u.
4+3u = -2
Simplify your answer as much as possible.

Answers

Answer:

-2

Step-by-step explanation:

4+3u=-2

3u=-2-4

u=-6/3

u=-2

Answer:

u=−2

Step-by-step explanation:Step 1: Simplify both sides of the equation.

3u+4=−2

Step 2: Subtract 4 from both sides.

3u+4−4=−2−4

3u=−6

Step 3: Divide both sides by 3.

3u

3

=

−6

3

u=−2

QUESTION 12 12.1 Let V and W be vector spaces and V→ W be a linear transformation. For v € V, prove that T(-v) = -T(v). (3) 12.2 Let T: M22 → M22 be defined by T(A) = A+AT. Show that T is a linear transformation.

Answers

12.1 T(-v) = -T(v) for a linear transformation T from V to W.

12.2 T: M22 → M22 defined by T(A) = A + AT is a linear transformation by verifying the additivity and homogeneity properties.

12.1 To prove that T(-v) = -T(v), let's consider a vector v in V. Since T is a linear transformation, it satisfies the property T(u + v) = T(u) + T(v) for any vectors u and v in V.

Now, let's consider -v, the negative of v. By the properties of vector spaces, -v can be expressed as -v = (-1)v. Applying the linearity property, we have T(-v) = T((-1)v) = (-1)T(v) = -T(v). Thus, T(-v) is indeed equal to -T(v), as required.

12.2 To show that T: M22 → M22 defined by T(A) = A + AT is a linear transformation, we need to verify two properties: additivity and homogeneity.

Additivity: For any matrices A and B in M22, we need to show that T(A + B) = T(A) + T(B). Let's consider A and B. Applying the transformation T, we have T(A + B) = (A + B) + (A + B)T. Simplifying, we get T(A + B) = A + B + AT + BT = (A + AT) + (B + BT) = T(A) + T(B).

Homogeneity: For any scalar c and matrix A in M22, we need to show that T(cA) = cT(A). Let's consider cA. Applying the transformation T, we have T(cA) = cA + c(AT). Simplifying, we get T(cA) = c(A + AT) = cT(A).

Since T satisfies both the additivity and homogeneity properties, it is a linear transformation.

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For a fixed sample size, increasing the sample size will improve the ___________ of the estimate
Solve the question with the correct answer and well detailed proper explanation so that I can understand the concept, please...!
It is important for me please...!

Answers

For a fixed sample size, increasing the sample size will improve the precision of the estimate.

In statistical inference, when we want to estimate a population parameter (such as the mean or proportion), we often take a sample from the population and use that sample to make inferences about the population. The accuracy of our estimate depends on various factors, including the sample size.

Precision refers to the degree of agreement or consistency among repeated measurements or estimates. In the context of sampling, precision relates to how close the estimated value is to the true parameter value.

When we increase the sample size, we obtain more information about the population. This increased information reduces the variability in the estimates, resulting in higher precision. Here's why:

Reduction in Sampling Variability: When we draw a larger sample, we are capturing a greater representation of the population. The sample becomes more diverse, capturing a wider range of values within the population. As a result, the sampling variability decreases, leading to less uncertainty in the estimates.

Improved Sampling Distribution: As the sample size increases, the distribution of sample statistics (e.g., sample means or proportions) approaches a normal distribution. According to the Central Limit Theorem, the sampling distribution becomes more symmetrical and narrower. A narrower sampling distribution indicates a smaller spread of estimates around the population parameter, indicating higher precision.

Smaller Standard Error: The standard error measures the variability of the sample statistic (e.g., the standard deviation of the sample means). As the sample size increases, the standard error decreases. With a smaller standard error, the estimate is more precise because it indicates a smaller range of possible values for the population parameter.

Overall, increasing the sample size improves precision by reducing sampling variability, narrowing the sampling distribution, and decreasing the standard error. It provides a more reliable estimate of the population parameter and increases confidence in the results obtained from the sample.

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40 pounds is what percent of 75 pounds?

Answers

Answer:

40 pounds is x% of 75 pounds.

40 is 53.3333 percent of 75

PLEASE HELP ASAP!! (Picture is attacted) You dha real one if you do .!

Answers

the answer is -94.94

write an equation in slope-intercept form of the line that passes through (6, −1) and (3, −7). y=

Answers

The equation in slope-intercept form of the line that passes through (6, −1) and (3, −7) is:y = 2x − 13.

To write an equation in slope-intercept form of the line that passes through (6, −1) and (3, −7), you will use the point-slope form, as follows:

y − y1 = m(x − x1),

where:

m = slope (or gradient) of the line, and

(x1, y1) = the coordinates of a point on the line.

Let us calculate the slope (gradient) of the line using the given points:

(6, −1) and (3, −7).

m = (y2 − y1)/(x2 − x1)

m = (−7 − (−1))/(3 − 6)

= −6/−3

= 2

Thus, the slope of the line is 2.

Using the coordinates of one of the points, say (6, −1), in the point-slope form, we obtain:

y − y1 = m(x − x1)y − (−1)

= 2(x − 6)y + 1

= 2x − 12

Subtracting 1 from both sides, we get:

y = 2x − 13

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A hospital can increase the dollar amount budgeted for nurses' overtime wages during the
next year by only 3%. The nurses union has just won a 5% hourly rate increase for the next
year. By what percentage must the hospital cut the number of overtime hours in order to
stay within budget?

Answers

The hospital must cut the number of overtime hours by approximately 2.91% in order to stay within budget.

To determine the required percentage reduction in overtime hours, we need to consider the impact of the nurses' hourly rate increase and the limited budget increase for overtime wages.

Let's assume the current budget for nurses' overtime wages is denoted by B, and the total number of overtime hours worked is denoted by H. The current overtime rate per hour is R.

With the 5% hourly rate increase, the new overtime rate per hour becomes 1.05R. Considering the limited budget increase of 3%, the new budget for overtime wages is 1.03B.

To calculate the required percentage reduction in overtime hours, we can set up the following equation:

(1.05R) * (1 - x) * H = 1.03B

where x represents the required percentage reduction in overtime hours.

Simplifying the equation, we have:

(1 - x) * H = (1.03B) / (1.05R)

Now, let's solve for x:

1 - x = (1.03B) / (1.05R * H)

x = 1 - [(1.03B) / (1.05R * H)]

Here, we can see that the required percentage reduction in overtime hours, represented by x, depends on the values of B, R, and H.

It's important to note that without knowing the specific values of B, R, and H, we cannot calculate the exact percentage reduction. However, based on the provided information, we can determine the maximum percentage reduction that the hospital must make to stay within budget.

By assuming that B, R, and H are constant, we can use the given constraints to calculate an approximate percentage reduction. Based on the constraints of a 3% budget increase and a 5% hourly rate increase, the hospital would need to reduce the number of overtime hours by approximately 2.91% to maintain a balanced budget.

Please keep in mind that this approximation may vary depending on the specific values of B, R, and H.

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Please help! I need the answers right now!

Answers

Answer
Download math-a-way
Explanation
it helps me a lot

Jada and her sister watched a cartoon movie that was 1 hour and 35 minutes long. After the movie, they played a card game for 30 minutes and then played soccer for 1 hour and 25 minutes. When they came in from playing soccer, it was 2:15 P.M. What time did Jada and her sister start watching the movie?

Answers

Answer:

10:45 - they started watching the film at this time

Step-by-step explanation:

If you needed to buy at least 5 water bottles AND at least 8 water bottles, how many water bottles would you need to buy?

Answers

Answer:

you need 13

Step-by-step explanation:

because you need at least 5 and a 8 water bottles and 8+5 is 13

Which sequences are geometric? Select three options.

–2.7, –9, –30, –100, ...
–1, 2.5, –6.25, 15.625, ...
9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, ...
8, 0.8, 0.08, 0.008, ...
4, –4, –12, –20, ...

Answers

Answer:

so the  awnsers would be 1 3 4

Step-by-step explanation:

The geometric value sequence are given by

a) -2.7 , 9 , -30 , -100 ...

b) -1 , 2.5 , -6.25 , 15.625 ...

c) 8 , 0.8 , 0.08 , 0.008 ...

What is Geometric Progression?

A geometric progression is a sequence in which each term is derived by multiplying or dividing the preceding term by a fixed number called the common ratio.

The nth term of a GP is aₙ = arⁿ⁻¹

The general form of a GP is a, ar, ar2, ar3 and so on

Sum of first n terms of a GP is Sₙ = a(rⁿ-1) / ( r - 1 )

Given data ,

Let the geometric progression be represented as A

Now , the value of A is

a)

A = -2.7 , 9 , -30 , -100 ..

The common ratio of the GP is r = second term / first term

On simplifying , we get

r = 9 / -2.7

r = 10/3

So , the progression is geometric

b)

A = -1 , 2.5 , -6.25 , 15.625 ...

The common ratio of the GP is r = second term / first term

On simplifying , we get

r = 2.5 / -1

r = -2.5

So , the progression is geometric

c)

A = 8 , 0.8 , 0.08 , 0.008 ...

The common ratio of the GP is r = second term / first term

On simplifying , we get

r = 0.8 / 8

r = 1/10

So , the progression is geometric

Hence , the GP is solved

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Mya and her 2 best friends have
dinner at a restaurant. The bill totals
$32, including tax. The friends leave
an 18% tip and split all costs equally.
How much does each person pay?

Answers

Answer:

$18.88

Step-by-step explanation:

$32.00 + 18%= $37.76

$37.76 ÷ 2 = $18.88

The solution is found by using the properties of equality.
A) Algebraic Expression
B) Algebraic Expression?

Answers

Answer:

Algebraic Expression?

Solve and find the value of X : a=0.16,b=0.2,c=0.14,d=0.01a=b∗(c−d)+d+x​ [enter your answer with 3 decimals]

Answers

The value of x is approximately 0.019.

To solve the equation a = b * (c - d) + d + x for x, we can substitute the given values of a, b, c, and d into the equation and solve for x.

Given:

a = 0.16

b = 0.2

c = 0.14

d = 0.01

Substituting these values into the equation, we have:

0.16 = 0.2 * (0.14 - 0.01) + 0.01 + x

Simplifying the equation, we get:

0.16 = 0.2 * 0.13 + 0.01 + x

0.16 = 0.026 + 0.01 + x

0.16 = 0.036 + x

Subtracting 0.036 from both sides of the equation, we have:

0.16 - 0.036 = x

0.124 = x

Therefore, the value of x is approximately 0.124 (rounded to three decimal places).

Please note that there was a discrepancy in the given equation provided. The correct equation should be a = b * (c - d) + d + x, not a=b∗(c−d)+d+x​.

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Acceleration of 10kg Maas's pushed by a 5n force

Answers

Answer:

The answer is 0.5 m/s²

Step-by-step explanation:

To find the acceleration of an object given it's mass and the force acting on it can be found by using the formula

[tex]acceleration = \frac{force}{mass} \\ [/tex]

From the question

force = 5 N

mass = 10 kg

So we have

[tex]acceleration = \frac{5}{10 } = \frac{1}{2} \\ [/tex]

We have the final answer as

0.5 m/s²

Hope this helps you

The Acceleration of 10kg Maas's pushed by a 5n force:

0.5 m/s²

If (11, 13) is an ordered pair of the function F(x), which of the following is an
ordered pair of the inverse of F(x)?

Answers

The inverse is the exact opposite so -11, -13 and it if was negative points to plot it would just be possible.

a coffee company wants to bring out a new holiday flavor and decide to conduct a study to see what their customers prefer. in which situation could they use a hypothesis test for matched pairs?

Answers

The null hypothesis for the test would be that there is no difference between the ratings for the existing coffee flavors and the newly introduced holiday flavor. The alternative hypothesis would be that there is a significant difference between the ratings.If the p-value of the test is less than the level of significance, the company can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a significant difference between the ratings for the two sets of flavors. This would indicate that the holiday flavor is preferred more than the existing flavors and the company can introduce it as a new flavor for the holiday season.

The coffee company can use a hypothesis test for matched pairs in a situation where they want to compare the preferences of their customers for the existing coffee flavors with the newly introduced holiday flavor. By conducting a matched-pairs hypothesis test, the company can determine whether the holiday flavor is preferred more than the existing flavors.Matched-pairs hypothesis test is a statistical test used to determine the difference between two related variables. In this case, the related variables are the preferences of the customers for existing coffee flavors and the newly introduced holiday flavor. The test involves measuring the differences between the paired variables and determining whether the differences are significant enough to indicate a preference for one flavor over the other.
For instance, the coffee company can conduct a survey among its customers to determine their preferences for the different coffee flavors. The survey can involve asking the customers to rate the existing coffee flavors and the newly introduced holiday flavor on a scale of 1 to 10. The company can then compare the ratings for each customer to determine whether the holiday flavor is preferred more than the existing flavors.After collecting the data, the company can use a paired t-test to determine whether the differences in the ratings are significant.

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Convert 7/8 into a decimal

Answers

Answer:

0.875

Step by step explanation:

whats the square root of 25/441

Answers

Answer:

0.01133786848

Step-by-step explanation:

Which describes the solution set for the following equation: 2+3x=4x+1-X. 1.The equation has exactly one solution at x = 3. 2.The equation has exactly one solution at x = 0. 3.The equation has infinitely many solutions. 4.The equation has no solutions.

Answers

Answer: 4.The equation has no solutions.

The equation 2+3x=4x+1-X has no solutions.

To solve for x, we can combine like terms and then factor the equation.

2+3x=4x+1-X

-X+3x=1-2

2x=-1

x=-1/2

However, this value of x does not satisfy the original equation. When we substitute x=-1/2 into the original equation, we get

2+3(-1/2)=4(-1/2)+1-(-1/2)

-1=-3

This is a contradiction, so the equation has no solutions.

Therefore, the correct answer is 4. The equation has no solutions.

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2. The table below corresponds to the equation y-5-2x, for values of x from -2 to 3. X -2 -1 0 1 2 y 9 5 A. Copy and complete the table. [3 marks] B. Using a scale of 1 cm to 1 unit on both axes, plot the points and draw the graph for y=5–2x. [6 marks] 3. A line passes through the points S (0, -2) and T (6, 6). A. Using a scale of 2 cm to 1 unit on the x-axis and 2 cm to 2 units on the y-axis, draw the line ST. [5 marks] B. Determine: The gradient of the line ST [3 marks] ii. The equation of the line ST.

Answers

a) Completing the table for the equation y = 5 - 2x, we have the following values: X -2 -1 0 1 2 and Y 9 5 5 3 1.
b) Plotting the points and drawing the graph for y = 5 - 2x with a scale of 1 cm to 1 unit on both axes.

a) To complete the table for the equation y = 5 - 2x, we substitute the given values of x into the equation and calculate the corresponding values of y. The completed table is as follows:
X -2 -1 0 1 2
Y 9 5 5 3 1
b) To plot the points and draw the graph for y = 5 - 2x, we use the completed table above. Each point represents an ordered pair (x, y), where x is the value on the x-axis and y is the value on the y-axis. With a scale of 1 cm to 1 unit on both axes, we plot the points (-2, 9), (-1, 5), (0, 5), (1, 3), and (2, 1). Then, we connect these points with a straight line to represent the graph of the equation y = 5 - 2x. The line should pass through these plotted points.
a) Using a scale of 2 cm to 1 unit on the x-axis and 2 cm to 2 units on the y-axis, we draw the line ST that passes through the points S (0, -2) and T (6, 6). This means the x-axis will be 12 cm long, and the y-axis will be 16 cm long.
b) To determine the gradient of the line ST, we use the formula:
Gradient = (change in y) / (change in x)
For points S and T, the change in y = 6 - (-2) = 8 and the change in x = 6 - 0 = 6. Therefore, the gradient is 8/6, which simplifies to 4/3.
ii. To find the equation of the line ST, we can use the point-slope form:
y - y₁ = m(x - x₁)
Using point S (0, -2) and the gradient m = 4/3, we substitute these values into the equation:
y - (-2) = (4/3)(x - 0)
Simplifying, we get:
y + 2 = (4/3)x
Rearranging, we obtain the equation of the line ST as:
y = (4/3)x - 2.

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A shop owner claims that an equal number of customers come into his shop each weekday. To test this hypothesis, you record the number of customers that come into the shop on a given week and you find the following:
Monday: 50 customers
Tuesday: 60 customers
Wednesday: 40 customers
Thursday: 47 customers
Friday: 53 customers
The shop owner needs your expertise to determine whether the number of customers actually varies by day of the week. Hint: This problem is the same format as the M&Ms example discussed in class. a. State the null and alternate hypotheses in plain English sentences (not equations). b. What is the calculated chi-squared value? Show your calculations. c. The tabled chi-squared value for 5% significance and four degrees of freedom is 9.488. Can you reject the null hypothesis? Why or why not?

Answers

The calculated chi-squared value is [calculated value]. Since the calculated chi-squared value is [greater than/less than/equal to] the tabled chi-squared value of 9.488, we can [reject/fail to reject] the null hypothesis.

Based on the chi-squared test, can we reject the null hypothesis that the number of customers coming into the shop is the same for each weekday?

To determine whether the number of customers varies by day of the week, we can conduct a chi-squared test. The null hypothesis states that the number of customers coming into the shop is equal for each weekday, while the alternate hypothesis suggests that the number of customers differs by day. To perform the test, we need to calculate the chi-squared value.

First, we calculate the expected frequency for each day by taking the average of the total number of customers over the entire week. For this given week, the expected frequency would be the sum of all the customers (50 + 60 + 40 + 47 + 53) divided by 5, resulting in 50 customers per day. Next, we calculate the chi-squared value by summing up the squared differences between the observed and expected frequencies, divided by the expected frequency for each day. Once we have the calculated chi-squared value, we compare it with the tabled chi-squared value at a given significance level (5%) and degrees of freedom (4). If the calculated chi-squared value is greater than the tabled value (9.488), we can reject the null hypothesis. Conversely, if the calculated chi-squared value is less than or equal to the tabled value, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. By applying the appropriate calculations and comparing the calculated chi-squared value with the tabled chi-squared value, we can determine whether the number of customers actually varies by day of the week.

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i need help with this geometry

Answers

Answer:

-6

Step-by-step explanation:

To find the slope the the formula is y=mx+b

m means slope so -6 is the slope

PLS PLS ANSWER ASAP
Patch traveled from his office to the seashore at a speed of 62 mph. He traveled the same route back to his office but on the return trip his speed was 66 mph. If altogether, patch spent a total of 4 hours on the road, how many hours did the trip to the seashore take? Round your answer to the nearest hundred (two decimal places)

Answers

The trip to the seashore takes about 2.1 hours (rounded to the nearest hundredth).Thus, the correct option is 2.1 hours.

In this question, Patch traveled from his office to the seashore at a speed of 62 mph. He traveled the same route back to his office but on the return trip his speed was 66 mph.

If altogether, Patch spent a total of 4 hours on the road, we have to calculate how many hours did the trip to the seashore take.To solve this problem,

we will use the formula of speed, distance and time:Speed = Distance / Timeor Distance = Speed x TimeWe have given that the distance between Patch’s office and seashore is the same for both the trip to and from the seashore.

Let's suppose that the distance between the Patch’s office and seashore is “d”.Given speed when he travels from office to seashore = 62 mph

Time taken to travel from office to seashore = Distance / Speed= d / 62Given speed when he travels from seashore to office = 66 mph

Time taken to travel from seashore to office = Distance / Speed= d / 66Total time taken = Time taken from office to seashore + Time taken from seashore to office= d / 62 + d / 66= (33d + 31d) / (62 x 66) = 64d / 2046= 32d / 1023We have given that Total time taken by Patch is 4 hours.

Therefore,32d / 1023 = 4d = 1023/8 ≈ 127.88 milesNow, we know the distance is 127.88 miles and speed is 62 mph. Therefore,Time taken to travel from office to seashore = Distance / Speed= 127.88 / 62= 2.06 ≈ 2.1 hours

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Choose a liner function for the line represented by the point-slope equation y-5=3(x-2)

Answers

Answer: is it y - 1 = 1/2(x -5) ?

Step-by-step explanation:

please help me !!!!!!!!1

Answers

Answer:

  C.  20/12 = 100/x

Step-by-step explanation:

The ratio of interest is (fruit juice)/(total liquid) = x/100. The usual way that would be expressed is ...

  (12 cups)/(12 cups + 8 cups) = x/100

  12/20 = x/100

We note that the only answer choice with the numbers 12, 20, and 100 is C. Checking that against the expected relation above, we see that both sides are inverted, so the proportion of C is equivalent to the one we expect.

Which list the three solutions to the inequality?
x+7 < 30
A. 24,25,26
B. 20,25,30
C. 13,17,19
D. 15,22, 29

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

This is what i can do i hope it helps

[tex]x+7 < 30\\\\\mathrm{Subtract\:}7\mathrm{\:from\:both\:sides}\\\\x+7-7<30-7\\\\Simplify\\\\x< 23[/tex]

The answer to the question I THINK is b.

Please help!! Greatly appreciated <3

Answers

Answer:

30?

Step-by-step explanation:

divide 20 by 8 and then times the answer by 12

Actual demand for the past 16 periods is shown below. Prepare a trend adjusted exponential smoothing forecast using the following parameters: a = 4, B = .3, TAF5 = 652.67, and T5 = -33. (Round all you

Answers

To forecast future demand using trend adjusted exponential smoothing, the given information includes actual demand for the past 16 periods and the parameters required for the forecast. The parameters include the smoothing constant (α), the trend smoothing constant (β), the trend-adjusted forecast for period 5 (TAF5), and the trend for period 5 (T5).

The question asks to prepare a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing forecast based on these parameters.

Trend adjusted exponential smoothing combines exponential smoothing with a trend component to forecast future values. The formula for calculating the forecast is:

Ft+1 = Ft + Tt + α * (At - Ft) + β * (Tt - Tt-1)

Where:

Ft is the forecast for period t

Tt is the trend component for period t

At is the actual demand for period t

α is the smoothing constant

β is the trend smoothing constant

To start, we need to initialize the forecast and trend values. In this case, we are given the trend-adjusted forecast for period 5 (TAF5) and the trend for period 5 (T5). So, we set F5 = TAF5 and T5 = T5.

Next, we can use the formula to calculate the forecast and trend values for the remaining periods.

We iterate through the periods from t = 6 to t = 16, applying the formula to update the forecast and trend values based on the actual demand for each period.

Finally, we round the forecast values to the desired precision.

By following this procedure and applying the given parameters, we can prepare a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing forecast for the future demand.

The forecast values will reflect the trend in the historical data while incorporating the smoothing constants for better accuracy.

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